George on the Singularity

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Vernor Winge's predications about the human era

• All starts with me. Neurons fire at 150 m/sec at freq of 200 Hz

This is much lower than the potential light speed. a 2 and 10 million fold increase, respectively

two options:

• improve humans
• replace humans

If we improved Seth 1.0 into Seth 2.0, then 2.0 can make 3.0 faster. This leads to exponential growth. So once it happens, it will happen very quickly.

1 millionfold increase==

• 1 subjective year in 31 seconds

Already accelerating progress is observable and has been measured. Knowledge buils more knowledge

Logarithm plot of paradigm shifts Time Before Present vs. Time to Next Event, bothin years, are linear when graphed log log. Innovations become more and more frequent

Ray Kurzweil: Genius

• 1965: invented classical music analyzing and compusing computer at 17
• 1978: OCR
• 1984: instrument quality sound recording
• 1987: invented speech recognition
• Pops 150 pills a day
• plans to resurrect his father
• except cumpouter superiority by 2029
• on lots of boards of directors of foundations for rich people worried about he singularity

6 Epochs

1. physics and chemistry
2. biology
3. brains
4. technology
5. merger of technology and human intelligence (where we are right now)
6. The Universe Wakes UP

What wil it mean?

• lots of questions. Arguably not knowable

"Arthur C Clarke, Any sufficentyly advanced tech is indistinguishable from magic"